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diminishing-returns-on-infrastructure-investment:-the-end-of-china’s-growth-miracle
Diminishing Returns on Infrastructure Investment: The End of China’s Growth Miracle

Diminishing Returns on Infrastructure Investment: The End of China’s Growth Miracle

Last updated: June 3, 2026 2:48 pm
By Antonio Graceffo
1 Min Read
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Diminishing Returns on Infrastructure Investment: The End of China’s Growth Miracle

Workers carrying out maintenance on electricity towers which carry the power supply for China’s high speed trains after snowfalls near Chuzhou, in eastern Anhui Province, China, on Jan. 31, 2018. AFP via Getty Images

Commentary

China’s infrastructure-driven growth model, once the engine of its economic rise, is now producing diminishing returns so severe that, without abandoning Beijing’s control in favor of genuine market reforms, China is unlikely ever to surpass the United States economically or in total GDP.

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