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USMCA Re-negotiations a ‘Significant Risk’ to Bank of Canada’s Fiscal Outlook

USMCA Re-negotiations a ‘Significant Risk’ to Bank of Canada’s Fiscal Outlook

Last updated: December 24, 2025 1:48 pm
By Matthew Horwood
1 Min Read
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USMCA Re-negotiations a ‘Significant Risk’ to Bank of Canada’s Fiscal Outlook

A worker shovels snow in front of the Bank of Canada in Ottawa on Dec. 10, 2025. The Canadian Press/Sean Kilpatrick

Matthew Horwood

12/23/2025|Updated: 12/23/2025

The Bank of Canada’s Governing Council said the upcoming re-negotiation of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) poses a threat to the accuracy of its economic and inflation outlook for 2026.

“On trade policy, members agreed that the upcoming review of USMCA was a significant risk,” said a document summarizing the governing council’s most recent deliberations prior to the Dec. 10 interest rate decision, where the Bank kept its key interest rate at 2.25 percent.

Matthew Horwood

Matthew Horwood is a reporter based in Ottawa.

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