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short-term-oil-spike,-followed-by-disinflation:-what-markets-are-telling-you
Short-Term Oil Spike, Followed by Disinflation: What Markets Are Telling You

Short-Term Oil Spike, Followed by Disinflation: What Markets Are Telling You

Last updated: March 24, 2026 9:48 am
By Daniel Lacalle
1 Min Read
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Opinion

Short-Term Oil Spike, Followed by Disinflation: What Markets Are Telling You

Oil tankers sit anchored off the coast of Seal Beach in Seal Beach, Calif., on March 17, 2026. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Daniel Lacalle

Daniel Lacalle

3/23/2026|Updated: 3/23/2026

0:00

Commentary

The current oil and commodity price shock has created an interesting pattern: The futures curve has moved further into backwardation, and market participants are shrugging off the headlines, discounting a short-term inflationary burst that would be rapidly corrected.

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