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Reading: Moody’s Says 22 States Are Already in Recession Despite Strong Overall GDP
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moody’s-says-22-states-are-already-in-recession-despite-strong-overall-gdp
Moody’s Says 22 States Are Already in Recession Despite Strong Overall GDP

Moody’s Says 22 States Are Already in Recession Despite Strong Overall GDP

Last updated: October 11, 2025 2:49 pm
By Tom Ozimek
1 Min Read
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Moody’s Says 22 States Are Already in Recession Despite Strong Overall GDP

A sign for Moody’s rating agency at the company headquarters in New York City, in an undated file photograph. Emmanuel Dunand/AFP via Getty Images

Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi says 22 U.S. states are already in recession, despite that national figures show the overall economy growing at a 3.8 percent pace and unemployment holding at 4.3 percent.

In a new interview with Fortune that builds on his late August analysis, Zandi said that much of the country’s economy is contracting beneath the surface, with many lower- and middle-income Americans on the cusp of financial distress, weighed down by debt and slowing wage growth despite steady employment levels.

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