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cory-morgan:-the-chances-of-a-spring-election-in-canada
Cory Morgan: The Chances of a Spring Election in Canada

Cory Morgan: The Chances of a Spring Election in Canada

Last updated: March 2, 2026 5:48 pm
By
Cory Morgan
1 Min Read
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Viewpoints

Opinion

Cory Morgan: The Chances of a Spring Election in Canada

A person enters a polling station in the Vancouver East riding on federal election day in Vancouver on April 28, 2025. The Canadian Press/Ethan Cairns

Cory Morgan

Cory Morgan

3/1/2026|Updated: 3/2/2026

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Commentary

The average lifespan of a federal minority government in Canada is a little over 18 months. A minority may hang on for an extended period if no party takes a significant lead in the polls. That’s why the last Trudeau government lasted over three years. It was never in the interest of any party to try to take the government down until the final few months of Trudeau’s leadership.

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