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C.D Howe. Institute Says ‘Too Early’ to Declare Canada Is in Recession

C.D Howe. Institute Says ‘Too Early’ to Declare Canada Is in Recession

Last updated: June 5, 2026 6:48 pm
By Matthew Horwood
1 Min Read
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C.D Howe. Institute Says ‘Too Early’ to Declare Canada Is in Recession

New condos under construction in downtown Toronto on May 25, 2023. The Canadian Press/Chris Young

The C.D. Howe Institute says it’s too soon to conclude that Canada has entered a recession, after the latest data from Statistics Canada showed the economy contracted for two consecutive quarters, meeting the common definition of a technical recession.

The institute’s Business Cycle Council, widely seen as the authority on recessions in Canada, said on June 5 that it doesn’t accept the definition of a recession as two straight quarters of declining GDP. Instead, it defines a recession as a “pronounced, persistent and pervasive decline in real economic activity.”

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